What’s the best and worst thing that can happen to a laborer?

Any big red box moment is risky.

And for a government disliked by millions there are perils at every turn.

Now the choice of Bédis Akelor, there is a best case scenario for dimes and needles, and what is the worst that can happen?

On the positive side of the ledger, MPS Labor have gone to their constituencies in a much better mood. It is largely down to CRACellell’s decision to open up the border more widely to receive additional acquaintances.

The Prime Minister Will Help In the argument to wrap the hat in the big name, suggest Various things that are necessary for the economy now and in the future. He will also make the case that the budget will help families by providing Energy Bills and New Energy.

And a long-term strategy on child poverty is likely to see the light of day by the end of the week.

It describes an example of friendly behavior as can be done – Kali Distristribaying ‘Payer Payer for at least off.

A government source described it as “a meeting of values, something that will also be seen, the government is more tied to the mountains of old”.

In other words, give cooked MPS MPs.

Although it is not popular with the people, the decision to facilitate is easier for the leadership to join the party. But with such a large majority as they won in July 2024, it solved a problem they never had before.

A trusted party is the basis for any government that wants to be effective. And it should matter to the administration and the majority. But you don’t need to remember the time of labor

In the scenario-buali, the change for benefits in the budget gives labor a cleer identity, the argument in the comfort zone of the party is happy to work. From a political perspective, another government source said “There is a change in body language and we are going to like to fight.”

If – and it is still an if – this calm can last, politics can stimulate and business may be safer. This hope will lock Cond for Ermu Ekonom, even if it is big, the size of spending on welfare and the country will still be in debt.

After all the preparations (more on the dark side of that later), there is no big plant in the markets a day. In fact, the market is in trouble because the Government is burning more and more money from investors who want to return it.

Business leaders hope for stability attached to the end of polling. As it is wrong to say: “this important scenario makes the stability – the government can crack, and we see uptis (in the economy). It is not like a government).

The other boss of the sculpture company told me: “Twenty-six additional taxes are not normal, but I think the budget will spread the slack.”

Polls don’t suggest for a second that the public at large is in the mood to do that. The initial survey of opinion after the budget gives a plan to plan quickly. More than a year ago you will pay more income tax or pay it for the first time – not the traditional reason to sew.

Inflation is expected to be higher this year than expected. And the growth in the spending power of the people has been predicted “dismal”. But for one of the members of the government, the best scenario “should be to like in the polls and finish the sprinkles, and work.

Besanna does not transport the moment that the jeopardy is close, which instead of the rocky way has been, is the victory of. But one party inserdly grimly juyal, after this week: “a good scenario for the PM is May, then there is a challenge to fail.”

What is the worst case scenario?

The ink on the title of the budget is too used to dry when it arrives. For some in the party, that time is incomprehensible – a senior figure told me, exasperated: “In terms of overcoming your party, continue today,

Separation in the budget process, unions and business and massive have tried to find a long premomium how long workers how the way will be accepted.

For some slackers and parties, the one-day-one tiast stop from the Peccromis injustice is a necessary compromise for workers’ changes that can go through Parliament. But it’s broken on the left.

A source close to the talks with the union and business told me “you can’t negotiate” – in other words, the announcement can’t be posted in the government that can’t be posted in the government.

Partial laziness does not seem to cause a big bust-up-up – one of the larner larner menu filth that is ponente in the broader plan But one spends the suggestion of what the budget will stop the grumps and inside the party.

Then listen to this warning from another source in the labor movement: “it’s a very luddicatous thing – it’s because the lawyers are quiet.”

In other words, beware of leadership.

For all the political focus, the budget is also a bigger economic moment and it’s not a good one. Debt is still sky-high. Growing up is definitely still going on for many years.

It’s hard to record who uses Starmer’s language again and again before and after the general election: that helps businesses spend money and hire more people – that’s at the top of the list.

An Image of the City I told me: “The writing of the gray left we can try to hate but that’s what it does – it can’t do the key to cricket, welfare, and the NHS grow.

Another business figure told me: “I think we’re a bit cocky no – by the end of the decade we’re going to spend almost as high.” Go ahead

Minimum container to go. Business growth will be limited to many companies. Even one uni person told me “development is rising as a priority”.

For an inner city, there is a sense that repeat business plays well with the business community before the election is over. “They sacrifice what opportunities they have to provide growth, support ideals and build an economy around mastery and debtors and their jobs.

“All the pre-ownership talk was about being a party of business and body growth. Everyone introduced it now and they won’t forget it.”

This government figure. Pointing to the decision on Heathrow and the new nuclear, they hit back: “If the business wants to use the right people in the years to come, it is a bit hungry if they are in need.”

Starmderes alone will not save the government until even the commission as there is always the opposite in some of his wishes, more emphasis on the mode system. Those who lead the way show that biogin to recommend a new focus to be a child means that they are not interested in trying to fall again.

Again the source suggests to look for a traditional focus to produce what sometimes happens as a value and a time chaser.

A former minister suggested that since the tax is high, the budget is high, the cost between the two parties is now as clear as in 1992.

But in the worst case scenario, there is still a way to go. As business leaders suggested, an increase in the minimum wage and tax level could mean “everyone will just not hire – no one will create confidence for us when we need it.”

Triendahir can hope for something else and the long-term picture improves, maybe because of his love in AI, maybe because of planning, who knows. But official predictions at the moment do not work to reassure.

What’s more, the decision on the budget can destroy the public’s trust in the government and even more.

Not only because of the promise to not generate a guard tax, one thing is that it is applicable means that you start the Registration of Partition. And Breeves also stands accused of lying about how the government’s suspected cash counts really have been in the run up to the budget.

Many times, and exceptionally, in general, the reneror who is invited to change the financial picture will use the option, which is your decision, your decision, your decision.

This impression is built up over many weeks, so the tax hike won’t be a massive shock to you or the market. Some leaks are accidental. Many of the abbreviations, including suggestions only a week ago that the number from the office from the work of the problem budget (Ocr) ever came or more rosing.

This rub. What we now know is the message, which gave this information late Jawtu, it was weeks before it was acknowledged again, not even a hole in the balance. The Conservatives have dismissed him for “lying” about the numbers. The way down has flat-waste.

But even a gerlerver personnel question whether the government crossed the line: “Everyone knows the game, but there is a line between rolling the pitch and just abusing the house and the lobby.”

In the worst case scenario, the budget process has already weakened trust in the government even more, and given opponents the opportunity to pursue the government.

The budget can be spectacular, falling before your eyes. That didn’t happen this week. Given how bad things have been for this government in recent months, that fact alone will come as a relief. And the personnel have a random by political identity known as one more in the rank and file. But that’s not the same as pleasing the public.

Financial picture can not give up. Okay, we will not get economic comfort in the political comfort zone.

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